A 10% Bitcoin treasury allocation over 10 years
What would a 10% Bitcoin allocation have done to a corporate treasury?
Scenario summary
A $100,000,000 treasury that placed 10% in Bitcoin in June 2016 and held the rest in non-yielding cash would have been worth about $1,181,484,833 by June 2026, a 1081% total return, with a worst monthly drawdown of -70% and Bitcoin grown to 92% of the treasury without rebalancing.
Computed from data through June 2026. Updates when the dataset updates.
Inputs
- Treasury size
- $100,000,000
- Bitcoin allocation
- 10% ($10,000,000)
- Remainder
- Cash at 0% yield
- Period
- June 2016 – June 2026
- Rebalancing
- None (buy and hold)
Result
- Ending treasury value
- $1,181,484,833
- Total treasury return
- 1081%
- Worst treasury drawdown
- -70%
- Bitcoin share at end
- 92%
Interpretation
Without rebalancing, a small initial allocation can grow to dominate the treasury, which turns a 10% policy into a much larger risk exposure.
Methodology
Monthly buy-and-hold simulation: the Bitcoin sleeve moves with monthly BTC closes, the cash sleeve stays flat; drawdown measured on the combined value. Full methodology.
Assumptions
- Cash earns 0%
- No rebalancing, purchases or sales after inception
- No taxes, accounting impairment or fees
Limitations
- Real treasuries earn interest on cash and face accounting and covenant constraints
- Monthly data understates intra-month drawdowns
- Single historical window
Data source
Monthly closes for Bitcoin, gold and the S&P 500 (bundled BTC Tools dataset)