Bitcoin Allocation
Sizing a Bitcoin position you can hold through a full drawdown.
Foundational questions
- How much Bitcoin should I own?In preparation
Comparisons
Advanced analysis
- Is Bitcoin overvalued?In preparation
BTC Tools · Bitcoin
Bitcoin for holders, investors and analysts
This hub is for individuals who hold or are considering meaningful Bitcoin. It brings together the questions that matter most: how much to allocate, whether to buy all at once or dollar-cost average, how long-run valuation models frame today's price, where the market sits in its four-year cycle, and how Bitcoin has compared with gold, the S&P 500 and big tech. Each topic links to a tool you can run with your own numbers and a guide that explains the reasoning.
Key tools
DCA backtesterBTC vs equities, any start datePower-law corridorFair value, ±σ bands, any dateCycle-position suiteMayer, MVRV, Pi cycle, realizedBitcoin vs. EverythingCompare BTC against gold, major indices and top tech stocksRetirement / FIRE calculatorYour BTC retirement numberPrice prediction modelTechnical, sentiment and macro inputs to a price range
Bitcoin knowledge library
Open Bitcoin Allocation →
Bitcoin DCA
What steady weekly or monthly buying has actually returned.
Foundational questions
- What is Bitcoin DCA?In preparation
Calculators
Advanced analysis
- What is a Bitcoin market cycle?In preparation
Related research
Bitcoin Valuation
Trend models and on-chain measures that frame today's price.
Foundational questions
- How is Bitcoin valued?In preparation
- What is the Bitcoin power law?In preparation
- What is MVRV?In preparation
- What is the Mayer Multiple?In preparation
- What is Bitcoin's realized price?In preparation
Comparisons
Advanced analysis
Related research
Bitcoin Market Cycles
Halving epochs, cycle indicators and what moves the price.
Foundational questions
- What is a Bitcoin market cycle?In preparation
- What is the 200-week moving average?In preparation
Calculators
Comparisons
- What is the Mayer Multiple?In preparation
Advanced analysis
Related research
Bitcoin Portfolio Analysis
How Bitcoin fits alongside other assets and a withdrawal plan.
Foundational questions
- How much Bitcoin should I own?In preparation
- What is Bitcoin DCA?In preparation
Comparisons
Advanced analysis
- Is Bitcoin overvalued?In preparation
- Can the Bitcoin price be predicted?In preparation
Related research
Bitcoin Comparisons
Bitcoin against gold, equities and its own entry strategies.
Foundational questions
Calculators
Advanced analysis
- How is Bitcoin valued?In preparation
Related research
Related guides
- Bitcoin valuation models compared: which one should you actually use?
- What drives the Bitcoin price? Cycles, valuation models and key drivers explained
- Can you predict the Bitcoin price? Technical indicators, sentiment, and macro factors
- Bitcoin Rainbow Chart vs. Power-Law Corridor: which long-term model is better?
Featured research
- Model methodologyFormulas, fits and assumptions behind each valuation and cycle model.
- Rainbow chart vs power lawComparative analysis of two long-run models.