← DCA backtester

Satoshi Institute · scenario

Lump Sum vs Dollar Cost Averaging: Bitcoin

$100 · weekly · since 2018-01-01

$175,9583.99×from $44,100 in
Invested$44,100
Final value$175,958
ROI+299%
BTC accumulated2.795 BTC
Avg cost$15,779
CAGR+17.8%

Lump sum, same dollars

Lump value$177,920
Lump multiple4.03×
Lump vs DCA+$1,963

Lump sum wins more often in a rising asset. DCA wins on the nights you can actually sleep. Here is the gap, in numbers.

Change the inputs

Satoshi Institute · backtest

Dollar-cost averaging, backtested

Pick an amount and a cadence. See what steady buying would have become, and what you'd have done buying something else on the same schedule.

Buy each time
$
Cadence
Starting
Strategy
Compare against
BTCETHSOL

A single lump of $44,100 put into Bitcoin since Jan 2018

$177,9204.03×from $44,100 in

That's 2.826 BTC at an average price of $15,605.

InvestedBTC value
BitcoinBTC
Invested$44,100
Worth today$177,920
Return+303% · 4.03×
CAGR+17.9%
Accumulated2.826 BTC
Avg cost$15,605

What this leaves out. Prices are weekly closes from CoinGecko. No fees, no spreads, no taxes, and no slippage, so real-world returns run lower. Past performance is not a forecast, and a different start date can flip the story entirely. This is a backtest for understanding, not advice.

Equities are next. The BTC-vs-S&P comparison every DCA tool needs requires an equities data feed wired through the server layer. The engine here already accepts new assets. Stocks and gold drop in once that feed is connected.

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Educational tools. Not investment, accounting, or security advice.

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