Bitcoin vs Microsoft since 2020

MONTHLY EOD · 2020-01 → 2026-06

January 2020 is the cleanest starting point for the post-COVID era. Microsoft's cloud and AI businesses re-rated the entire mega-cap complex; Bitcoin re-rated everything else.

METRICBITCOINMICROSOFT (MSFT)
Total return715.5%128.3%
Multiple8.15x2.28x
CAGR38.7%13.7%
Max drawdown-75.3%-30.6%
Annualized volatility66.0%24.3%
Sharpe ratio(rf 4%)0.440.36

Microsoft has compounded at a strong double-digit rate through cloud monetization and the OpenAI partnership, with relatively contained drawdowns by tech standards.

Bitcoin's same-window return is larger in absolute terms, but the path involved a 77% drawdown in 2022 that Microsoft did not come close to matching. Risk-adjusted, the two are closer than the headline number suggests.

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Bitcoin price source: internal monthly close series. Comparison asset: Tiingo daily EOD adjusted close, sampled at month end.

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